Exercise Introduction
This exercise consists of several phases designed to guide you through the full machine learning workflow for several regression model.
Phase 1: Understand the Problem
- Define the business or prediction goal.
- Identify the target variable.
- Identify the input features.
- Determine whether this is a regression or classification problem.
Phase 2: Explore the Data (Exploratory Data Analysis – EDA)
- Load and inspect the dataset.
Phase 3: Prepare the Data
- Select relevant features.
- Encode categorical variables (if any).
Scale/normalize features if needed.
- Split the dataset into training and testing sets (e.g., 80/20 split).
Phase 4: Build the Regression Models (Linear, Ridge, Lasso, Elastic Net Regression) Using the same training and testing data, build:
- Linear Regression
- Ridge Regression
- Lasso Regression
- Elastic Net Regression
- Tune hyperparameters (e.g., alpha).
- Use cross-validation for better model selection.
- Examine model coefficients.
- Understand the intercept and feature importance.
Phase 5: Evaluate the Regression Models (Linear, Ridge, Lasso, Elastic Net Regression)
- Make predictions on the test set.
- Calculate evaluation metrics:
- MAE (Mean Absolute Error)
- RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error)
- R² (R-squared) -Compare training vs. testing performance (check for overfitting).
Phase 6: Compare Model Performance
- Compare MAE, RMSE, and R² across all models.
- Analyze bias vs. variance.
- Identify the best-performing model.
Phase 7: Model Interpretation
- Interpret coefficients.
- Understand how each feature impacts the prediction.
- Discuss regularization effects (Ridge vs. Lasso vs. Elastic Net).
Phase 8: Final Conclusions
- Select the best model.
- Summarize findings.
- Suggest possible improvements (more data, feature engineering, different algorithms).